Saturday, April 25, 2020

ANOTHER BLOW DEALT TO PUBLIC FAITH IN SCIENTIFIC MODELS

Another blow dealt to public faith in scientific models: Miranda Devine

EXCERPTED: Of course, every death is one too many. But what we have seen over the past two months is that computer models are unreliable when it comes to predicting the future, and the premise we agreed on to vaporize 25 million jobs exaggerated the risks. 
For people who understand how models work, their imperfections are no surprise. Coronavirus task force tsar Dr Anthony Fauci last month admitted that exaggeration was built into every computer model of diseases he’s dealt with: “They always overshoot,” he told CNN. AND

(YOUR EDITOR'S NOTE--Oh those consultants again) The next challenge is to re-open the economy, and Cuomo reportedly wants to spend money we don’t have on consultants, McKinsey & Co, to create — you guessed it — a computer model to tell him the best way to move forward.


READ THE WHOLE ARTICLE HERE.

1 comment:

  1. Thanks. I sent along some questions. If I get answers, I'll post the responses.

    ReplyDelete